MATCH OVERVIEW
Vasco da Gama and Bahia are set to face off in a Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for their standings early in the season. Both teams have started the season with high-scoring games, and this encounter at Vasco's home ground is expected to be no different. The match will take place on February 12, 2026, at 00:30 UTC, and both teams will be eager to secure a win to boost their positions in the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 2.35 for a Vasco da Gama win, 3.05 for a draw, and 2.76 for a Bahia victory. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Vasco slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 42.6%, while the chances of an away win are around 36.2%. The likelihood of a draw is 32.8%. Given these odds, a narrow victory for Vasco seems the most likely outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Vasco da Gama
- Current Form: Vasco has shown a strong attacking form, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining a 100% record in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Strengths: High possession rate (53%), effective dribbling (31 successful dribbles), and solid passing accuracy (398 successful passes).
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with an average of 2 goals conceded per match.
Bahia
- Current Form: Bahia has been impressive offensively, averaging 2 goals per match and also maintaining a 100% record in over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Strengths: Strong defensive interceptions (53) and effective dueling (93 successful duels).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (40%) and higher expected goals against (2.1).
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Vasco and Bahia have been competitive, with both teams having their share of victories. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with both sides having the potential to score.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Vasco da Gama
- Philippe Coutinho: A key playmaker with 290.23 points this season, contributing significantly to Vasco's attacking play.
- Andrés Gómez: Another crucial player with 272.11 points, known for his ability to create chances.
Bahia
- Ronaldo: The standout performer for Bahia with 405.71 points, pivotal in both attack and defense.
- Gilberto: A consistent goal threat, having scored 1 goal this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Vasco averages 12 shots per game with 5 on target, while Bahia averages 10 shots with 6 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Vasco's defense has been less effective, conceding 2 goals per match, compared to Bahia's 1.
- Possession and Passing: Vasco's higher possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vasco da Gama is slightly favored to win this match, primarily due to their home advantage and superior possession stats. However, Bahia's strong offensive capabilities mean they are more than capable of causing an upset. The key to victory for Vasco will be tightening their defense, while Bahia will need to capitalize on their chances.
Final Score Prediction: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Bahia Half Time Score Prediction: Vasco da Gama 1-1 Bahia Both Teams to Score Probability: 100% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 100%
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