MATCH OVERVIEW
Basel and Viktoria Plzeň are set to face off in a crucial UEFA Europa League match. With both teams looking to secure a favorable position in the group stage, this match holds significant importance. Basel, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, while Viktoria Plzeň will be eager to upset the hosts and gain valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are as follows: Basel to win at 1.88, a draw at 3.29, and Viktoria Plzeň to win at 4.11. These odds suggest that Basel is the favorite to win, with a probability of approximately 53.2%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 30.4%, while Viktoria Plzeň has a 24.3% chance of winning. Based on these odds, Basel is expected to have the upper hand, but Viktoria Plzeň's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Basel
Basel has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.33 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.33%. Their offensive play is highlighted by an average of 13.83 shots per game, with 4.5 on target. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match. Basel's strength lies in their dribbling ability, with a high success rate of 14.33 successful dribbles per game.
Viktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň, on the other hand, has a slightly lower goal average of 1 per match and a possession rate of 42%. They are defensively solid, conceding only 0.33 goals per game. Their strength is in their defensive organization and ability to intercept, averaging 39 interceptions per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Basel and Viktoria Plzeň have had closely contested matches. Basel's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Viktoria Plzeň's defensive resilience will be a key factor.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Basel
- Xherdan Shaqiri: With 3 goals this season, Shaqiri is a pivotal figure in Basel's attack.
- Marwin Hitz: A reliable presence in goal, contributing significantly to Basel's defensive efforts.
Viktoria Plzeň
- Sampson Dweh: A standout performer with 230.66 points this season, crucial in both defense and attack.
- Rafiu Durosinmi: Leading the scoring for Plzeň with 2 goals, he will be key in their offensive play.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Basel averages 1.33 goals per game, while Viktoria Plzeň averages 1. Basel's expected goals (xG) is 1.56 compared to Plzeň's 1.3.
- Defensive Metrics: Viktoria Plzeň has a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.33 goals per game compared to Basel's 1.5.
- Possession and Passing: Basel averages 432.83 passes per game with a success rate of 82.7%, while Plzeň averages 315.67 passes with a 79.1% success rate.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Basel is favored to win, but Viktoria Plzeň's defensive capabilities could lead to a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Basel's ability to break down Plzeň's defense and Plzeň's counter-attacking potential. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Basel, with a half-time score of 1-0. The probability of both teams scoring is high, at 66.67%, with a 66.67% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
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