MATCH OVERVIEW
Pisa and Atalanta are gearing up for an exciting Serie A showdown at the Arena Garibaldi. This match is pivotal for both teams as they navigate through the season, with Pisa striving to improve their standing and Atalanta seeking to maintain their competitive edge. The clash is set to take place on January 16, 2026, at 19:45, promising an electrifying atmosphere under the floodlights.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of Atalanta, with an average of 1.62 for an away win, indicating a 61.7% probability. Pisa, on the other hand, has odds of 4.79, translating to a 20.9% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.37, suggesting a 29.7% likelihood. Based on these odds, Atalanta is expected to dominate, but Pisa's home advantage could play a crucial role in altering the expected outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Pisa has struggled this season, averaging only 0.68 goals per match and conceding 1.47. Their possession rate of 41.42% highlights their challenges in controlling games. In contrast, Atalanta boasts a stronger offensive record with 1.21 goals per game and a higher possession rate of 54.47%. Defensively, Atalanta has been more solid, conceding just 1 goal per match compared to Pisa's 1.47. Historically, Atalanta has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, and their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, could exploit Pisa's defensive vulnerabilities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Pisa, Stefano Moreo and M'Bala Nzola, each with 3 goals this season, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. Atalanta's Gianluca Scamacca, with 5 goals, is a key threat, supported by Nikola Krstović and Charles De Ketelaere. The midfield battle will be pivotal, with Pisa's Idrissa Touré and Atalanta's Charles De Ketelaere likely to influence the game's tempo and creativity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Atalanta's superior metrics in shots (13.53 per game) and successful passes (424.74) highlight their attacking prowess. Pisa's lower figures in these areas underscore their struggles. Defensively, Atalanta's expected goals against (1.18) is more favorable than Pisa's (1.69), indicating a stronger defensive setup. Atalanta's ability to maintain possession and create chances could be decisive in this matchup.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical advantages and current form, Atalanta is favored to win this encounter. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, combined with Pisa's struggles, suggest a likely victory for the visitors. Key factors such as Scamacca's goal-scoring form and Atalanta's tactical discipline could be match-winning elements. Final score prediction: Atalanta 2-0 Pisa.
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