MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Atlético de San Luis and Guadalajara is more than just a regular season game; it's a pivotal moment for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. Atlético de San Luis, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to challenge a strong Guadalajara side. The match will be held at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez, with kick-off set for 1:00 AM UTC on February 2, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Guadalajara favored to win at 1.84, while Atlético de San Luis stands at 3.68, and a draw at 3.41. These odds translate to a 54.35% probability for a Guadalajara victory, a 27.17% chance for Atlético de San Luis, and an 18.48% likelihood of a draw. Given these probabilities, Guadalajara is expected to have the upper hand, but Atlético de San Luis's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Atlético de San Luis
- Current Form: Atlético de San Luis has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.45 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.2%.
- Strengths: Their ability to score, with João Pedro netting 14 goals, and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 65%.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has been impressive, averaging 1.64 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.05%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities, with Armando González scoring 14 goals, and a solid defensive record with only 1.18 goals conceded per game.
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in defense, as indicated by their 50% Both Teams To Score percentage.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guadalajara has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Atlético de San Luis will be motivated to change the narrative on their home turf.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Atlético de San Luis: João Pedro is the standout performer with 14 goals, supported by Juan Manuel Sanabria's creative play.
- Guadalajara: Armando González leads the attack with 14 goals, while Roberto Alvarado provides additional firepower.
- Key Matchup: The battle between João Pedro and Armando González will be crucial in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Guadalajara averages more shots (13.14) and shots on target (4.23) compared to Atlético de San Luis (10.2 and 3.8 respectively).
- Defensive Metrics: Guadalajara's defense is slightly more robust, conceding fewer goals (1.18) than Atlético de San Luis (1.6).
- Possession and Passing: Guadalajara's superior possession (52.05%) and passing accuracy could be decisive.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Guadalajara is favored to win, but Atlético de San Luis's home advantage and attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include João Pedro's form and Guadalajara's defensive resilience. Expect a closely contested match with potential for goals from both sides.
Final Score Prediction: Guadalajara 2-1 Atlético de San Luis Half Time Score Prediction: Guadalajara 1-0 Atlético de San Luis Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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