MATCH OVERVIEW
Cruz Azul and Atlas face off in a crucial Liga MX match at the iconic Estadio Azteca. Scheduled for January 14, 2026, this encounter is set to kick off at 3:00 AM UTC. As the season heats up, both teams are eager to secure vital points, making this a must-watch for fans and analysts alike.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Cruz Azul with a 1.29 chance of winning, translating to a 77.5% probability. The draw is priced at 4.46, giving it a 22.4% chance, while Atlas is seen as the underdog with odds of 8.27, equating to a mere 12.1% probability of victory. Based on these odds, Cruz Azul is expected to dominate, but Atlas could spring a surprise if they capitalize on their opportunities.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cruz Azul has been in solid form this season, averaging 1.76 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 58.33%. Their offensive prowess is evident with 15.48 shots per game and a high success rate in dribbles. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.14 goals, supported by a strong interception rate.
Atlas, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 2.06 goals per match. Their possession is significantly lower at 40.65%, which could be a disadvantage against a dominant Cruz Azul side. However, Atlas has shown resilience in duels and could leverage their counter-attacking capabilities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Cruz Azul, Gabriel Fernández is a key player, having scored 9 goals this season. His partnership with Ángel Sepúlveda, who has 7 goals, will be crucial. Carlos Rodríguez, with 4 goals and a high performance rating, adds depth to their attack.
Atlas will rely on Uros Djurdjevic, their top scorer with 7 goals, to lead the line. Diego González, with 5 goals, will also be pivotal in their offensive efforts. Goalkeeper Camilo Vargas, with a high save rate, will be essential in keeping Cruz Azul at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cruz Azul's offensive metrics are impressive, with a high expected goals (xG) of 1.4 and a strong passing game, averaging 442.76 passes per match. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an expected goals against (xGA) of 0.96.
Atlas, while struggling defensively, has a decent xG of 1.06, indicating potential in attack. Their interception rate is higher than Cruz Azul's, which could be a key factor in disrupting Cruz Azul's play.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Cruz Azul is the clear favorite, with their superior form and home advantage. Key factors such as possession dominance and offensive depth are likely to play a decisive role. Atlas will need to exploit counter-attacks and set-pieces to have a chance.
Final Score Prediction: Cruz Azul 3-1 Atlas. Expect a high-scoring affair with both teams finding the net, but Cruz Azul's quality should see them through comfortably.
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