MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Primeira Liga match between AVS and Arouca is set to be a pivotal encounter in the 2025/2026 season. With both teams striving to improve their league positions, this match at AVS's home ground is crucial. Scheduled for January 17, 2026, at 18:00 GMT, fans can expect an intense battle.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Arouca slightly favored to win at 2.27, compared to AVS's 2.94. The draw is priced at 3.18, indicating a closely contested match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 34% for an AVS win, 44% for an Arouca victory, and 31% for a draw. Given these odds, Arouca is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
AVS
- Current Form & Statistics: AVS has struggled this season, averaging only 0.65 goals per match while conceding 2.53. Their possession rate stands at 42.76%, indicating a need for improvement in controlling the game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: AVS's strength lies in their dribbling, with 11.71 successful dribbles per match. However, their defense is a concern, with a high average of 2.53 goals conceded per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, AVS has had mixed results against Arouca, making this match an opportunity to improve their record.
Arouca
- Current Form & Statistics: Arouca has shown better form, scoring 1.06 goals per match and maintaining a higher possession rate of 48.82%.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Arouca's offensive play is bolstered by players like Alfonso Trezza, who has scored 6 goals this season. However, their defense also leaks goals, with an average of 2.47 conceded per match.
- Head-to-Head: Arouca has a slight historical advantage over AVS, which they will look to capitalize on.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- AVS: Nenê and Óscar Perea, each with 2 goals, are key to AVS's attacking hopes. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial.
- Arouca: Alfonso Trezza, with 6 goals, is a standout performer. His matchup against AVS's defense could be decisive.
- Player Form & Impact: Both teams rely heavily on their top scorers to make an impact, with Trezza's form being particularly noteworthy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive & Defensive Metrics: AVS averages 9.47 shots per game, with 2.94 on target, while Arouca averages 8.59 shots, with 2.88 on target.
- Possession & Passing: Arouca's superior passing accuracy (331.24 successful passes) could give them an edge in maintaining possession.
- Statistical Advantages: Arouca's higher goal-scoring rate and possession stats suggest they might control the game more effectively.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Arouca appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior goal-scoring ability and possession stats. However, AVS's home advantage and potential for improvement make this a closely contested match. Key factors will include Arouca's ability to exploit AVS's defensive weaknesses and AVS's need to capitalize on their dribbling strength.
Final Score Prediction: Arouca 2-1 AVS Half Time Score Prediction: Arouca 1-0 AVS Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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