Vitória Guimarães vs Moreirense - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Vitória Guimarães will host Moreirense in a highly anticipated Primeira Liga match. This fixture is pivotal for both teams as they look to improve their standings in the league. The match will take place at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45 GMT on January 30, 2026.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Vitória Guimarães slightly favored at 2.12. The odds for a draw stand at 3.17, while Moreirense is priced at 3.56. These odds translate to a 47.2% probability for a home win, a 31.5% chance for a draw, and a 28.1% likelihood of an away victory. Based on these figures, Vitória Guimarães is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Vitória Guimarães

• Current Form: Vitória Guimarães has shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 50.78%.
• Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 13.72 successful dribbles per game and solid defensive interceptions at 31.33.
• Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 3.44 shots on target per match and a low goal conversion rate.

Moreirense

• Current Form: Moreirense has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.39 goals per match.
• Strengths: Effective in passing with 368.56 successful passes per game and a higher goal-scoring rate.
• Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.44 goals conceded per match and a high expected goals against of 1.7.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Vitória Guimarães has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Moreirense's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

• Vitória Guimarães: Oumar Camara and Nélson Oliveira, both with 3 goals this season, will be key in breaking down Moreirense's defense.
• Moreirense: Guilherme Schettine, the top scorer with 9 goals, will be the main threat to Vitória Guimarães' backline.
• Key Matchup: The battle between Vitória's defense and Schettine's attacking prowess could be decisive.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

• Offensive Metrics: Moreirense leads with a higher average of goals per match (1.39) compared to Vitória's 1.
• Defensive Metrics: Vitória Guimarães has a slightly better defensive record with fewer goals conceded per match (1.28).
• Possession and Passing: Moreirense's superior passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested. Vitória Guimarães' home advantage and defensive solidity could be crucial, but Moreirense's attacking threat cannot be underestimated. The key to victory will be which team can capitalize on their chances and maintain defensive discipline.

Final Score Prediction: Vitória Guimarães 1-1 Moreirense Half Time Score Prediction: Vitória Guimarães 0-0 Moreirense Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%

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