MATCH OVERVIEW
Aberdeen and Livingston face off in a pivotal Scottish Premiership match at Pittodrie Stadium. Scheduled for January 24, 2026, at 3:00 PM, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their league positions. Aberdeen, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the pitch, while Livingston aims to defy expectations and secure a vital away win.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Aberdeen as the favorites with odds of 1.65, translating to a 60.6% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.07, indicating a 32.6% chance, while Livingston's odds of 3.85 reflect a 26% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Aberdeen is expected to have the upper hand, but Livingston's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Aberdeen has played 22 matches this season, with a modest goal-scoring record of 0.91 goals per game. Their defense, conceding 1.27 goals per match, will need to be solid against Livingston's attack. Aberdeen's strengths lie in their dribbling and passing accuracy, with a successful dribble rate of 13.95 and 311.14 successful passes per game. However, their low goal conversion rate is a concern.
Livingston, on the other hand, has played 21 matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 1.95 goals per match. Livingston's strengths include their ability to win duels and intercept the ball, with 100.95 successful duels and 47.62 interceptions per game. Their offensive play is bolstered by a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.03 compared to Aberdeen's 1.44.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Aberdeen, Jesper Karlsson is a key player, having scored 5 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Aberdeen's success. Marko Lazetić and Adil Aouchiche also contribute significantly to the team's attacking prowess.
Livingston's Jeremy Bokila, with 5 goals, is their top scorer and will be a threat to Aberdeen's defense. Cristian Montano and Scott Pittman are also vital to Livingston's attacking strategy, providing both goals and assists.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Aberdeen's possession rate of 47.5% and Livingston's 46.52% suggest a closely contested midfield battle. Aberdeen's higher expected goals (xG) of 1.44 compared to Livingston's 1.03 indicates a slight offensive edge. Defensively, Livingston's higher expected goals against (xGA) of 2.07 compared to Aberdeen's 1.63 highlights their vulnerability at the back.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Aberdeen is favored to win, with a 60.6% probability. Key factors include Aberdeen's home advantage and Livingston's defensive frailties. However, Livingston's ability to score and win duels could make this a competitive match. Final score prediction: Aberdeen 2-1 Livingston.
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