MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming La Liga clash between Deportivo Alavés and Osasuna is set to be a pivotal match in the final stretch of the season. Both teams are looking to secure a strong finish, with Alavés aiming to leverage their home advantage at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. The match is scheduled for May 24, 2025, at 19:00, and it promises to be a tightly contested affair.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Osasuna, with odds of 2.39 for an away win compared to 3.13 for a home victory for Alavés. The draw is priced at 3.2, indicating a competitive matchup. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 31.9% for a home win, 29.4% for a draw, and 41.8% for an away win. Based on these figures, Osasuna is favored to come out on top, but the close odds reflect the potential for any outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form & Statistics: Alavés has had a mixed season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 44.95%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.27 goals per game.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Alavés excels in dribbling, with 11.73 successful dribbles per match, but struggles with goal-scoring efficiency.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, with Alavés often relying on their home advantage.
Osasuna
- Current Form & Statistics: Osasuna has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.27 goals per match. They maintain a possession rate of 46.05%.
- Strengths & Weaknesses: Osasuna's strength lies in their offensive capabilities, with a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.32 compared to Alavés' 1.18.
- Head-to-Head: Osasuna has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on their attacking prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Deportivo Alavés: Kike García is a key player for Alavés, having scored 13 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial.
- Osasuna: Ante Budimir stands out with 21 goals, making him a significant threat to Alavés' defense.
- Key Matchups: The battle between García and Budimir will be a focal point, as both strikers aim to outscore each other.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Osasuna leads in shots off target with 6.19 per game, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés has a slight edge in interceptions, averaging 37.54 per match, which could be pivotal in disrupting Osasuna's attacks.
- Possession & Passing: Osasuna's superior passing accuracy, with 295 successful passes per game, could help them control the tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Osasuna appears to have a slight advantage. Their superior goal-scoring record and offensive metrics suggest they could edge out a victory. However, Alavés' home advantage and defensive resilience cannot be underestimated. The key to the match could lie in the performance of the strikers, García and Budimir.
Final Score Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Osasuna Half Time Score Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Osasuna Both Teams to Score Probability: 54% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 48%
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