MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Louis City and Portland Timbers are set to face off in a pivotal MLS match that could have lasting implications on their playoff aspirations. St. Louis City, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a resilient Portland Timbers side. The match is scheduled to take place at St. Louis City's home stadium on July 13th at 11:00 PM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Louis City slightly favored at 2.27, while Portland Timbers are at 2.73. The draw stands at 3.69, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing a win. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 44% for a St. Louis City win, 27% for a draw, and 37% for a Portland Timbers victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Louis City
St. Louis City has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 21 matches played. They have a decent record of scoring, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 46.14%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game. Key strengths include their dribbling ability, averaging 17.48 dribbles per match, and their interception rate of 39.33.
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers have been slightly more consistent, with an average of 20 matches played. They boast a higher goal average of 1.5 per match and a possession rate of 50.65%. Their defense is marginally better, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Portland's strengths lie in their passing accuracy, with 413.2 successful passes per match, and their offensive rating of 556.1.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. The tactical approach from both teams will likely focus on exploiting defensive weaknesses, with St. Louis City aiming to capitalize on their dribbling prowess and Portland Timbers leveraging their passing game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Louis City
- João Klauss: With 7 goals this season, Klauss is a key offensive threat.
- Roman Bürki: His defensive contributions have been crucial, with 194.99 points.
Portland Timbers
- Antony: A top scorer with 6 goals, Antony will be pivotal in breaking down St. Louis City's defense.
- David Pereira da Costa: His all-around play has earned him 192.23 points.
Key Matchups
The battle between João Klauss and Antony will be one to watch, as both players have the ability to change the game's dynamics with their scoring capabilities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- St. Louis City: Average shots on target of 4.1, with a defensive rating of 299.45.
- Portland Timbers: Average shots on target of 4.2, with a defensive rating of 286.21.
Possession and Passing
- St. Louis City: 403.14 passes per match, with a successful pass rate of 334.86.
- Portland Timbers: 484.8 passes per match, with a successful pass rate of 413.2.
Statistical Advantages
Portland Timbers have a slight edge in possession and passing accuracy, which could be crucial in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Portland Timbers appear to have a slight advantage due to their superior passing and possession metrics. However, St. Louis City's home advantage and dribbling skills could level the playing field. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on defensive solidity and key player performances.
Final Score Prediction
A closely fought match is expected, with a predicted scoreline of 2-2, reflecting the competitive nature of both teams.
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