MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming clash between Standard Liège and Union Saint-Gilloise is a pivotal match in the Belgium First Division. Scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 19:45, this encounter at the Stade Maurice Dufrasne promises to be a thrilling contest. Both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their league standings, with Union Saint-Gilloise looking to maintain their superior form.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 4.07 for a Standard Liège win, 3.3 for a draw, and 1.93 for a Union Saint-Gilloise victory. These odds suggest a 24.6% probability for a home win, a 30.3% chance for a draw, and a 51.8% likelihood for an away win. Based on these odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is favored to secure the victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Standard Liège
- Current Form: Struggling with an average of 0.87 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.83%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 11.65 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.26 goals conceded per match.
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Current Form: Impressive with 1.65 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.83%.
- Strengths: Solid defense, conceding only 0.52 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower success in crosses with 4.65 successful per match.
Head-to-Head
Union Saint-Gilloise has had the upper hand in recent encounters, showcasing a more consistent performance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Standard Liège
- Rafiki Saïd: Top scorer with 4 goals, crucial for their attacking play.
- Matthieu Epolo: Key defensive player with 226.39 points this season.
Union Saint-Gilloise
- Promise David: Leading scorer with 9 goals, a constant threat to defenses.
- Kevin Mac Allister: Defensive stalwart with 255.43 points, pivotal in maintaining their defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Union Saint-Gilloise averages 13.83 shots per match compared to Standard Liège's 9.3.
- Defensive Metrics: Union Saint-Gilloise's expected goals against is 0.93, significantly lower than Standard Liège's 1.54.
- Possession and Passing: Union Saint-Gilloise leads with 430.96 passes per match, indicating better control and distribution.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Union Saint-Gilloise is expected to dominate this fixture, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their strong defensive record and effective attacking unit led by Promise David. Standard Liège will need to capitalize on their home advantage and improve their defensive organization to challenge their opponents.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Union Saint-Gilloise. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1. Both Teams to Score Probability: 60%. Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%.
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