Juventude enters this match with a slight edge in the odds, with a home win priced at 1.94, indicating a 51.5% probability of victory. The draw is valued at 2.94, suggesting a 34% chance, while Ceará's win is at 3.37, reflecting a 29.7% likelihood. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Juventude favored to leverage their home advantage.
Juventude's current form shows a solid defensive setup, having conceded no goals this season, which is a testament to their organized backline. However, their offensive output has been modest, with an average of 2 goals per match and a low expected goals (xG) of 0.92. Their possession stats are also on the lower side, averaging 36%, which could be a concern against a Ceará side that has shown more attacking prowess.
Ceará, on the other hand, has been involved in high-scoring games, with a 100% rate of matches featuring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Their offensive metrics are slightly better, with an average of 2 goals per match and a higher xG of 0.6. However, their defense has been porous, conceding 2 goals per game, which Juventude will look to exploit.
Head-to-head statistics favor Juventude, who have historically performed well against Ceará at home. Tactically, Juventude may focus on a counter-attacking approach, utilizing their dribbling skills and successful duels to break down Ceará's defense. Ceará, meanwhile, will aim to dominate possession and use their crossing ability to create scoring opportunities.
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