MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Championship match between Derby County and West Bromwich Albion is poised to be a pivotal encounter in the league. Both teams are looking to secure vital points as they aim to climb the standings. The match will take place at Pride Park Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 8:00 PM on January 23, 2026. This fixture is crucial for both sides as they seek to solidify their positions in the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are closely matched, with Derby County at 2.49, a draw at 2.87, and West Bromwich Albion at 2.51. This suggests a highly competitive game, with the probabilities indicating a slight edge for the home team. The odds imply a 40.16% chance for a Derby win, a 34.84% chance for a draw, and a 39.84% chance for a West Brom victory. Given these odds, a closely contested match is expected, with a draw being a likely outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Derby County
Derby County has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.33 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.19%. Their strength lies in their ability to score, with a Both Teams To Score percentage of 70.37%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game.
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion, on the other hand, has a slightly better possession rate at 51% and averages 1.15 goals per match. Their defensive record is similar to Derby's, conceding 1.41 goals per game. West Brom's ability to maintain possession and create chances through their higher passing accuracy could be a decisive factor.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, both teams have had their share of victories, making this match even more unpredictable. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Derby likely to focus on counter-attacks, while West Brom may aim to control the game through possession.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Derby County
- Carlton Morris: With 10 goals this season, Morris is Derby's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Matt Clarke: A solid defensive presence, Clarke's performance will be vital in keeping West Brom at bay.
West Bromwich Albion
- Aune Heggebø: Leading the scoring charts for West Brom with 8 goals, Heggebø will be a constant threat to Derby's defense.
- Nat Phillips: Known for his defensive prowess, Phillips will be crucial in thwarting Derby's attacking plays.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Derby averages 8.78 shots per game, with 3.19 on target, while West Brom averages 12.96 shots, with 4.3 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Derby's defense will need to be wary of West Brom's higher shot volume and possession play.
- Passing and Possession: West Brom's superior passing accuracy and possession could give them an edge in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be tightly contested. Derby's home advantage and scoring ability could be offset by West Brom's possession play and defensive organization. Key factors such as set-pieces and individual brilliance could determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
A 1-1 draw seems a likely result, with both teams having the capability to score but also prone to conceding. The match could see both teams finding the net, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals given their offensive stats.
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