MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming UEFA Europa League match between Basel and Viktoria Plzeň is set to be a thrilling encounter. Basel, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a resilient Viktoria Plzeň side. This match is significant as both teams are vying for a spot in the knockout stages, making every point crucial.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.88 for a Basel win, 3.29 for a draw, and 4.11 for a Viktoria Plzeň victory. These odds suggest that Basel is the favorite, with a 53.2% implied probability of winning. The draw has a 30.4% probability, while Viktoria Plzeň has a 24.3% chance of securing an away win. Based on these odds, Basel is expected to come out on top, but the possibility of a draw cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Basel
Basel has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.33 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.33%. Their offensive play is highlighted by an average of 13.83 shots per game, with 4.5 on target. Defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
Viktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň, on the other hand, has a slightly lower goal average of 1 per match but boasts a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.33 goals on average. Their possession rate stands at 42%, and they average 11.17 shots per game, with 4.5 on target.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Basel and Viktoria Plzeň have had closely contested matches, with Basel often having the upper hand at home. This trend could continue, given Basel's home advantage and Viktoria Plzeň's struggle to score away goals.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Basel
- Xherdan Shaqiri: With 3 goals this season, Shaqiri is a key offensive threat for Basel.
- Marwin Hitz: A reliable presence in goal, contributing significantly to Basel's defensive efforts.
Viktoria Plzeň
- Sampson Dweh: Leading the team with 230.66 points, Dweh is crucial in both defense and attack.
- Rafiu Durosinmi: With 2 goals, he is Viktoria Plzeň's top scorer this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Basel averages 1.33 goals per match, while Viktoria Plzeň averages 1. Basel's expected goals (xG) is 1.56, compared to Viktoria Plzeň's 1.3.
- Defensive Metrics: Viktoria Plzeň has a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.33 goals per match compared to Basel's 1.5.
- Possession and Passing: Basel averages 432.83 passes per match with a 82.7% success rate, while Viktoria Plzeň averages 315.67 passes with a 79.1% success rate.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Basel is likely to edge out Viktoria Plzeň in this encounter. Key factors include Basel's home advantage and Viktoria Plzeň's lower scoring rate. However, Viktoria Plzeň's strong defense could make it a tight contest.
Final Score Prediction: Basel 2-1 Viktoria Plzeň Half Time Score Prediction: Basel 1-0 Viktoria Plzeň Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.67% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 66.67%
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