MATCH OVERVIEW
Bastia and Reims are set to face off in a pivotal Ligue 2 match that could shape the trajectory of their respective seasons. Bastia, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with Stade Armand Cesari to gain an advantage over Reims, who have been impressive on the road. The match, scheduled for November 7th at 19:00, is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Reims slightly favored to win at 2.47 compared to Bastia's 2.7. The draw is priced at 3.15, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 37% for a Bastia win, 31% for a draw, and 40% for a Reims victory. Given Reims' stronger form, they are expected to edge out Bastia, but the home advantage could play a significant role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bastia
Bastia's season has been marked by defensive solidity but a lack of offensive firepower. With an average of 0.36 goals per match, their attack has struggled, reflected in their low expected goals (0.91). However, their possession rate of 54.55% and successful passes indicate a team capable of controlling the game. Defensively, Bastia has conceded 1.27 goals per match, showing resilience.
Reims
Reims, on the other hand, have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.83 goals per match. Their expected goals of 1.94 highlight their attacking prowess. With a possession rate of 57.08%, Reims are adept at dictating play, supported by their high successful passes. Defensively, they concede 1.42 goals per match, slightly higher than Bastia.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Reims have had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Bastia. Their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Bastia's defensive setup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bastia
- Amine Boutrah: With 2 goals this season, Boutrah is Bastia's leading scorer and will be crucial in breaking Reims' defense.
- Zakaria Ariss: His 141.95 points highlight his influence in midfield, crucial for Bastia's possession game.
Reims
- Keito Nakamura: Leading the scoring charts with 5 goals, Nakamura's form is vital for Reims' attacking strategy.
- Teddy Teuma: With 3 goals and 192.01 points, Teuma's creativity and goal-scoring ability make him a key player.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Bastia: Average 10.73 shots per match, with 3 on target.
- Reims: Average 13.17 shots per match, with 4.83 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Bastia: 33 interceptions per match, showcasing their defensive discipline.
- Reims: 40 interceptions per match, indicating a strong defensive presence.
Possession and Passing
- Bastia: 390.09 passes per match, with a success rate of 317.45.
- Reims: 524.92 passes per match, with a success rate of 447.5.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Reims are likely to emerge victorious given their superior attacking metrics and historical advantage over Bastia. However, Bastia's home advantage and defensive capabilities could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Reims' ability to break down Bastia's defense and Bastia's counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction
Reims to win 2-1, with a half-time score of 1-0 in favor of Reims.
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