MATCH OVERVIEW
Augsburg and St. Pauli face off in a Bundesliga clash that could significantly impact their respective campaigns. Augsburg, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the WWK Arena to secure a win. Meanwhile, St. Pauli, known for their resilience, will look to upset the hosts and climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Augsburg with a home win priced at 1.95, a draw at 3.33, and an away win for St. Pauli at 3.94. This translates to a probability of approximately 51.3% for an Augsburg victory, 30% for a draw, and 25.4% for a St. Pauli win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Augsburg favored to take the three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Augsburg
Augsburg's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.11 goals per match and a concerning 1.94 goals conceded. Their offensive play is bolstered by a 61.11% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. However, their defense remains a weak point, as evidenced by their expected goals against of 1.82.
St. Pauli
St. Pauli, on the other hand, averages 0.94 goals per game and concedes 1.82, reflecting a similar defensive vulnerability. Their possession rate of 44.35% suggests a counter-attacking style, which could be effective against Augsburg's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Augsburg has had the upper hand in this fixture, but St. Pauli's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Augsburg
- Fabian Rieder: With 3 goals this season, Rieder is a key offensive threat.
- Chrislain Matsima: Leading the team with 268.3 points, his defensive contributions will be crucial.
St. Pauli
- Andréas Hountondji: The top scorer for St. Pauli with 4 goals, Hountondji will be pivotal in breaking down Augsburg's defense.
- Eric Smith: A versatile player with 229.51 points, Smith's all-around play is vital for St. Pauli.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Augsburg: Average 11.06 shots per game with a 46.94% possession rate.
- St. Pauli: Average 10 shots per game and a higher passing accuracy with 365.88 successful passes.
- Defensive Metrics: Augsburg's 44.33 interceptions per game could disrupt St. Pauli's rhythm.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Augsburg is slightly favored to win, but St. Pauli's counter-attacking prowess could lead to an upset. Key factors include Augsburg's home advantage and St. Pauli's ability to exploit defensive lapses. Expect a closely contested match with potential for goals from both sides.
Final Score Prediction: Augsburg 2-1 St. Pauli
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling.0> If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org1> or your local support service.