MATCH OVERVIEW
Bayer Leverkusen welcomes St. Pauli to the BayArena in what promises to be a captivating Bundesliga fixture. With Leverkusen aiming to maintain their strong form and St. Pauli looking to climb the league table, this match holds significant implications for both sides. Scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 14:30 GMT, fans can expect a competitive showdown.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Bayer Leverkusen with a 1.42 chance of winning, translating to a 70.4% probability. A draw is priced at 4.42, giving it a 22.6% chance, while St. Pauli's odds of 6.73 suggest a 14.9% probability of an upset. Based on these odds, Leverkusen is expected to dominate, but St. Pauli could surprise if they capitalize on their opportunities.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bayer Leverkusen
- Current Form: Leverkusen has been impressive this season, averaging 2 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 57.42%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive play with an average of 12.84 shots per game and a high successful dribble rate of 11.68.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.37 goals conceded per match.
St. Pauli
- Current Form: St. Pauli has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.9 goals per game.
- Strengths: Effective in duels, winning 87.3 on average per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate at 44.65% and a higher average of 1.7 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Bayer Leverkusen has had the upper hand in previous encounters, often leveraging their superior attacking prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bayer Leverkusen
- Patrik Schick: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Leverkusen's attacking strategy.
- Alejandro Grimaldo: Contributed 5 goals, showcasing his versatility and impact.
St. Pauli
- Andréas Hountondji: Top scorer with 4 goals, pivotal in St. Pauli's offensive efforts.
- Danel Sinani: Key playmaker with 3 goals, essential for creating scoring opportunities.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Leverkusen averages 2 goals per game compared to St. Pauli's 0.9.
- Defensive Metrics: Leverkusen concedes 1.37 goals per match, slightly better than St. Pauli's 1.7.
- Possession and Passing: Leverkusen's superior possession (57.42%) and passing accuracy (546.63 successful passes) could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Bayer Leverkusen is expected to leverage their home advantage and superior attacking capabilities to secure a victory. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring rate and possession dominance. St. Pauli will need to focus on defensive solidity and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge Leverkusen.
Final Score Prediction: 3-1 in favor of Bayer Leverkusen.
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