MATCH OVERVIEW
Hamburger SV and Borussia M'gladbach are set to face off in a pivotal Bundesliga match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Both teams have shown competitive form, making this clash at Volksparkstadion a must-watch for football enthusiasts. Scheduled for January 17, 2026, at 14:30 GMT, the match holds substantial importance as both teams aim to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Hamburger SV slightly favored at 2.43, while Borussia M'gladbach stands at 2.78. The draw is priced at 3.45, indicating a balanced probability for all outcomes. The odds imply a 41.15% chance for a home win, a 28.99% chance for an away win, and a 29.86% chance for a draw. Given these probabilities, a narrow victory for Hamburger SV seems plausible.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hamburger SV has been consistent this season, averaging 1.06 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 48.5%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 1.43, though they concede 1.63 goals on average. Borussia M'gladbach, on the other hand, averages 1.38 goals per match with a slightly lower possession rate of 46.38%. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.43.
Head-to-head statistics show a competitive rivalry, with both teams having similar over 2.5 goals percentages at 56.25%. Hamburger SV's ability to score and concede goals makes them a dynamic opponent, while Borussia M'gladbach's tactical approach focuses on maintaining defensive stability.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hamburger SV's Albert Sambi Lokonga and Rayan Philippe have been key contributors, each scoring 4 goals this season. Luka Vuskovic also adds depth with 3 goals. Borussia M'gladbach's Haris Tabakovic is a standout performer with 9 goals, making him a crucial player to watch. The matchup between Lokonga and Tabakovic could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Hamburger SV's offensive metrics, such as 11.5 shots per game and 4.63 shots on target, highlight their attacking intent. Borussia M'gladbach's defensive metrics, including 7.38 clearances per game, underscore their focus on preventing goals. Both teams have similar interception rates, with Hamburger SV at 39.19 and Borussia M'gladbach at 41.06, indicating a competitive midfield battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hamburger SV has a slight edge due to their home advantage and consistent scoring ability. The key to victory will be their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive discipline. Borussia M'gladbach's reliance on Tabakovic's goal-scoring prowess will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia M'gladbach Half Time Score Prediction: Hamburger SV 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling.0> If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org1> or your local support service.