MATCH OVERVIEW
Heidenheim will welcome RB Leipzig to the Voith-Arena in what promises to be a captivating Bundesliga fixture. Scheduled for January 24, 2026, at 14:30 GMT, this match holds significant weight for both teams. Leipzig, currently in the upper echelons of the league, will look to maintain their momentum, while Heidenheim aims to leverage home advantage to upset the odds.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor RB Leipzig with an average of 1.7, indicating a 58.8% probability of an away win. Heidenheim, with odds of 4.2, has a 23.8% chance of securing a victory, while a draw is priced at 3.95, reflecting a 25.3% probability. The odds suggest Leipzig as the likely winners, but Heidenheim's home form could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Heidenheim
- Current Form: Heidenheim has struggled this season, averaging 0.94 goals per match while conceding 2.24.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable at 70.8%, and they have a decent interception rate of 42.35 per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties are evident with a high expected goals against (xGA) of 1.97.
RB Leipzig
- Current Form: Leipzig boasts a strong attacking record, averaging 2 goals per game.
- Strengths: They excel in possession (51.69%) and have a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.19 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Leipzig's dangerous own half losses (6.88) could be exploited by Heidenheim.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Leipzig has dominated this fixture, but Heidenheim's home advantage could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Heidenheim
- Stefan Schimmer: With 5 goals this season, Schimmer is Heidenheim's main attacking threat.
- Patrick Mainka: A key defensive figure, contributing significantly to interceptions and clearances.
RB Leipzig
- Christoph Baumgartner: Leading the scoring charts with 6 goals, Baumgartner is crucial to Leipzig's attack.
- Willi Orbán: A defensive stalwart, his presence is vital in maintaining Leipzig's defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Leipzig averages 15.31 shots per game compared to Heidenheim's 10.47.
- Defensive Metrics: Heidenheim's higher xGA (1.97) compared to Leipzig's (1.23) highlights defensive vulnerabilities.
- Possession and Passing: Leipzig's superior possession (51.69%) and passing accuracy could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on current form and statistical analysis, RB Leipzig is favored to win this encounter. Key factors include Leipzig's superior attacking prowess and defensive stability. However, Heidenheim's home advantage and potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
Final Score Prediction: RB Leipzig 3-1 Heidenheim Half Time Score Prediction: RB Leipzig 1-0 Heidenheim Both Teams to Score Probability: 64.71% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 76.47%
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