MATCH OVERVIEW
Sassuolo and Parma face off in a pivotal Serie A match that could shape their respective seasons. Scheduled for January 3, 2026, at the Mapei Stadium, this encounter promises to be a thrilling contest. Sassuolo, known for their attacking style, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Parma aims to secure valuable points on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Sassuolo, with odds of 1.89 for a home win, 3.31 for a draw, and 4.01 for a Parma victory. This translates to a 52.9% probability for Sassuolo to win, a 30.2% chance for a draw, and a 24.9% likelihood for Parma to triumph. Based on these odds, Sassuolo is favored to secure the win, but Parma's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Sassuolo
- Current Form: Sassuolo has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.93%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and a 53.33% both teams to score rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1.27 goals conceded per match.
Parma
- Current Form: Parma has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.67 goals per match, but they maintain a solid defensive structure.
- Strengths: Their defensive resilience is reflected in a lower goals conceded rate of 1.2 per match.
- Weaknesses: Limited attacking threat with a 33.33% over 2.5 goals rate.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Sassuolo has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Parma's ability to grind out results makes them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Sassuolo
- Domenico Berardi: A key figure with 4 goals this season, Berardi's creativity and goal-scoring ability are crucial for Sassuolo's attack.
- Andrea Pinamonti: Also with 4 goals, Pinamonti's presence in the box is a constant threat.
Parma
- Mateo Pellegrino: Leading Parma's attack with 4 goals, Pellegrino's form will be vital for any offensive success.
- Zion Suzuki: A reliable presence in goal, Suzuki's performances could be decisive in keeping Sassuolo at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Sassuolo averages 9.87 shots per match with 3.8 on target, while Parma averages 10.33 shots with 3.13 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Sassuolo's defense faces 1.27 goals against per match, slightly higher than Parma's 1.2.
- Possession and Passing: Sassuolo averages 379.73 passes per match with a success rate of 84%, compared to Parma's 320.87 passes with an 80% success rate.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Sassuolo is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Parma's defensive solidity could frustrate the home side. Key factors such as Berardi's influence and Suzuki's goalkeeping will play pivotal roles.
Final Score Prediction: Sassuolo 2-1 Parma Half Time Score Prediction: Sassuolo 1-0 Parma Both Teams to Score Probability: 53% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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