MATCH OVERVIEW
Empoli will host Modena in a highly anticipated Serie B match at the Stadio Carlo Castellani. With both teams looking to climb the league table, this fixture holds significant importance in the context of the season. Scheduled for January 31, 2026, at 14:00 GMT, fans can expect an intense battle as Empoli aims to leverage their home advantage against a formidable Modena side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Modena slightly favored to win at 2.11, compared to Empoli's 3.3. The draw is priced at 3.04, indicating a closely contested match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 30.3% for an Empoli win, 32.9% for a draw, and 47.4% for a Modena victory. Given these odds, Modena is expected to have the upper hand, but Empoli's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Empoli has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.24 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.48%. Their defense has been relatively porous, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game. Modena, on the other hand, boasts a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.85 goals per match, and maintains a higher possession rate of 52.85%. Head-to-head, Modena's superior offensive and defensive ratings suggest they might dominate the game, but Empoli's resilience at home cannot be underestimated.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Empoli's Stiven Shpendi, with 6 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the back of the net could be pivotal for Empoli's chances. Modena's Ettore Gliozzi, who has scored 9 goals, will be equally crucial for the visitors. The matchup between these two forwards could determine the outcome of the match, with both players in fine form.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Empoli averages 10.1 shots per game, with 3.86 on target, while Modena averages 16.15 shots, with 5 on target. Modena's higher shot volume and accuracy could give them an edge offensively. Defensively, Modena's lower goals conceded and higher successful duels rate (105.85) compared to Empoli's (90.38) highlight their defensive solidity.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena appears to have a statistical advantage, particularly in defense and shot accuracy. However, Empoli's home advantage and the potential impact of key players like Stiven Shpendi could level the playing field. The match-winning factors will likely include Modena's ability to maintain their defensive discipline and Empoli's effectiveness in converting chances. A close contest is expected, with a final score prediction of Empoli 1-2 Modena.
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