MATCH OVERVIEW
Spezia and Modena face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. With both teams eager to climb the league table, this encounter promises to be a thrilling contest. The match will be held at Stadio Alberto Picco, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 GMT on December 13, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Modena slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Spezia Win: 2.81
- Draw: 2.92
- Modena Win: 2.42
These odds translate to the following probabilities:
- Spezia Win: 35.6%
- Draw: 34.2%
- Modena Win: 41.3%
Given these probabilities, Modena is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could easily swing in any direction.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Spezia
Spezia has had a mixed season, with an average of 0.93 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.21%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game. Key players like Gianluca Lapadula, who has scored 3 goals, will be crucial in their attacking efforts.
Modena
Modena, on the other hand, has been more consistent, averaging 1.5 goals per match and maintaining a higher possession rate of 54.79%. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.64 goals per game. Ettore Gliozzi, with 7 goals, is a key player to watch.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. This match is expected to be another closely fought battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Spezia
- Gianluca Lapadula: With 3 goals this season, Lapadula is Spezia's main attacking threat.
- Salvatore Esposito: A key midfielder with 164.59 points, crucial for controlling the game's tempo.
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: Leading scorer with 7 goals, Gliozzi is vital for Modena's offensive play.
- Daniel Tonoli: A versatile player with 164.62 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Spezia: Average 9.14 shots per game, with a shots on target rate of 3.79.
- Modena: More aggressive with 15.64 shots per game and 4.57 on target.
- Defensive Comparison: Modena's defense is stronger, conceding fewer goals and having a higher defensive rating.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Spezia's home advantage and potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Spezia 1-2 Modena
- Half Time: Spezia 0-1 Modena
Key Factors
- Modena's strong defense and attacking prowess.
- Spezia's potential to capitalize on home advantage.
In conclusion, while Modena is favored, Spezia's resilience and home support could make this a tightly contested match.
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
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