MATCH OVERVIEW
Vålerenga and Fredrikstad are set to face off in a pivotal Eliteserien match at the Intility Arena. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table and secure vital points. Vålerenga, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Fredrikstad will be determined to challenge their hosts and gain an away victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Vålerenga, with odds of 2.08 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.28, while Fredrikstad's chances of winning are at 3.27. This indicates a competitive match, with Vålerenga having a marginal advantage. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 48% for Vålerenga to win, 30% for a draw, and 30% for Fredrikstad to win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Vålerenga
Vålerenga's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.33 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.08%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 12.83 shots per game, but they need to improve their accuracy with only 3.92 shots on target. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per match, which is an area of concern.
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad has shown resilience with an average of 1.17 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.5%. Their defense is slightly stronger, conceding 1.08 goals per game. However, their offensive output needs enhancement, as they average only 9.17 shots per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Vålerenga has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Fredrikstad's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Vålerenga
- Elias Sørensen: Top scorer with 3 goals, crucial for Vålerenga's attack.
- Fidel Brice Ambina: Key midfielder with 201.1 points, providing stability and creativity.
Fredrikstad
- Emil Holten: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals, vital for Fredrikstad's offensive play.
- Ulrik Fredriksen: Defensive stalwart with 189.67 points, essential for maintaining defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Vålerenga averages 1.33 goals per match, while Fredrikstad averages 1.17.
- Vålerenga's expected goals (xG) is 1.44, indicating potential for more goals.
Defensive Metrics
- Fredrikstad's expected goals against (xGA) is 1.46, slightly better than Vålerenga's 1.5.
- Fredrikstad averages more clearances per match (8.83) compared to Vålerenga (5.33).
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vålerenga holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and offensive capabilities. However, Fredrikstad's solid defense could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Vålerenga's ability to convert chances and Fredrikstad's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
Vålerenga 2-1 Fredrikstad
Half Time Score Prediction
Vålerenga 1-0 Fredrikstad
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 48%
- Away Win: 30%
- Draw: 30%
- Both Teams to Score: 58%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 41%
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