MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Querétaro and Pachuca is set to be a pivotal clash in the league standings. Querétaro, currently struggling to find consistency, will be eager to secure a vital home win against a formidable Pachuca side. Meanwhile, Pachuca, with their eyes on the top spots, will aim to exploit any weaknesses in the home team's defense.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for the away team, Pachuca, with odds of 2.02 compared to Querétaro's 3.27. The draw is priced at 3.24, indicating a competitive fixture. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 47.5% for a Pachuca win, 30.6% for a Querétaro victory, and 31.9% for a draw. Given these odds, Pachuca is favored to take the three points, but the close margins suggest a tightly contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Querétaro
Querétaro's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 1.1 goals per game and a concerning 1.7 goals conceded per match. Their possession rate of 37.15% highlights a potential area of improvement, especially against a possession-dominant team like Pachuca. Defensively, Querétaro's average of 37.75 interceptions per game could be crucial in disrupting Pachuca's attacking flow.
Pachuca
Pachuca enters this match with a stronger overall performance, averaging 1.23 goals per game and conceding 1.23, showcasing a balanced approach. Their possession rate of 51.5% and higher passing accuracy could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo. Pachuca's offensive metrics, including 12.5 shots per game, suggest they will pose a significant threat to Querétaro's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pachuca has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Querétaro. This trend, combined with their current form, positions them as favorites, although Querétaro's home advantage could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Querétaro
- Alí Ávila: With 7 goals this season, Ávila is Querétaro's main attacking threat. His ability to find the net will be crucial if Querétaro is to upset the odds.
- Guillermo Allison: As a key defensive figure, Allison's performance in goal will be vital in keeping Pachuca's attackers at bay.
Pachuca
- Enner Valencia: A joint top scorer for Pachuca with 4 goals, Valencia's experience and finishing ability make him a constant threat.
- Alonso Aceves: With 183.82 points this season, Aceves' contributions in both defense and attack will be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Pachuca's 12.5 shots per game and 4.14 shots on target highlight their attacking prowess, compared to Querétaro's 7.9 shots and 3.15 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Querétaro's higher interception rate (37.75) could be key in breaking up Pachuca's play, while Pachuca's lower goals conceded (1.23) indicates a more robust defense.
- Possession and Passing: Pachuca's superior possession (51.5%) and passing accuracy (354.82 successful passes) could dominate the midfield battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Pachuca is likely to edge out Querétaro, leveraging their superior possession and attacking metrics. Key factors such as Enner Valencia's form and Pachuca's defensive solidity could be decisive. However, Querétaro's home advantage and Alí Ávila's goal-scoring ability should not be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction: Querétaro 1-2 Pachuca Half Time Score Prediction: Querétaro 0-1 Pachuca Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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