MATCH OVERVIEW
Padova and Monza face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could have significant implications for their respective seasons. Monza, currently in a strong position, is looking to solidify their promotion hopes, while Padova aims to leverage home advantage to climb the standings. The match will take place at Stadio Euganeo, with a 16:15 kickoff on February 1, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Monza with an average of 1.8, indicating a 55.6% probability of an away win. Padova's odds stand at 4.31, translating to a 23.2% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.23, suggesting a 31% likelihood. Given these odds, Monza is expected to dominate, but Padova's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Padova
- Current Form: Padova has struggled this season, with an average of 0.95 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.71%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles (14 per match) and interceptions (44.24 per match).
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and high expected goals against (1.64).
Monza
- Current Form: Monza boasts a better offensive record with 1.52 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 52.9%.
- Strengths: Effective in dribbles (19.81 per match) and maintaining a solid defense with only 0.81 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Slightly vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (4.86 per match).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Monza has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their superior squad depth and tactical flexibility.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Padova
- Mattia Bortolussi: Leading scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Padova's attacking play.
- Pietro Fusi: Key in midfield, contributing significantly to both defense and attack.
Monza
- Hernani: Top performer with 201.77 points, pivotal in midfield control.
- Dany Mota: Joint top scorer with 4 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Monza averages 12.95 shots per match compared to Padova's 10.14, indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Monza's defense is more robust, conceding only 0.81 goals per match versus Padova's 1.19.
- Possession and Passing: Monza's superior possession (52.9%) and passing accuracy (372.9 successful passes per match) could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Monza enters this match as favorites, backed by superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include Monza's offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Padova will need to capitalize on home advantage and exploit any defensive lapses from Monza.
Final Score Prediction: Monza to win 2-1, with a potential halftime score of 1-0 in favor of Monza. Expect both teams to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
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