MATCH OVERVIEW
Cruz Azul will face off against Puebla in a highly anticipated Liga MX match at the iconic Estadio Azteca. Scheduled for January 18, 2026, this match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table. Cruz Azul, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a win against a resilient Puebla side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of Cruz Azul, with an average of 1.29 for a home win, indicating a 77.5% probability. The draw is priced at 4.93, translating to a 20.3% chance, while Puebla's odds of 8.01 suggest a mere 12.5% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Cruz Azul is expected to dominate, but Puebla could still pose a threat if they capitalize on their opportunities.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cruz Azul has been in impressive form this season, averaging 1.73 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 58.23%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by their 15.64 shots per game and a high success rate in dribbles. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 1.18 goals per match. In contrast, Puebla has struggled defensively, conceding 2.39 goals per game, but they have shown potential in attack with a 66.67% over 2.5 goals rate.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Cruz Azul, Gabriel Fernández has been a standout performer with 9 goals this season, supported by Ángel Sepúlveda's 7 goals. Carlos Rodríguez also contributes significantly with 4 goals. Puebla's Emiliano Gómez, with 6 goals, will be key in their attacking efforts, alongside Ricardo Marín and Carlos Baltazar.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cruz Azul's offensive metrics are superior, with higher averages in shots, possession, and successful passes compared to Puebla. Defensively, Cruz Azul's expected goals against (0.96) is significantly lower than Puebla's (1.62), indicating a stronger defensive setup. Puebla's higher rate of dangerous own half losses could be exploited by Cruz Azul's attackers.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical advantages and current form, Cruz Azul is likely to secure a victory. Key factors include their superior offensive capabilities and home advantage. However, Puebla's potential to score should not be underestimated. Final score prediction: Cruz Azul 3-1 Puebla.
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