MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming UEFA Europa League match between PAOK and Celta de Vigo is poised to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are looking to strengthen their positions in the group stage, making this match a pivotal point in their European campaigns. The match will be held at the iconic Toumba Stadium, known for its electrifying atmosphere, on February 19, 2026, at 17:45 GMT.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with PAOK slightly favored at 2.34, a draw at 3.27, and Celta de Vigo at 2.97. This translates to a probability of approximately 42.7% for a PAOK win, 30.6% for a draw, and 33.7% for a Celta de Vigo victory. The odds indicate a tight match, with PAOK having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
PAOK
PAOK has shown a solid form this season, with an average of 2.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.75%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 62.5% success rate in matches with over 2.5 goals. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.75 goals per game, which they will need to tighten against a potent Celta attack.
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo has been impressive with an 87.5% rate of matches featuring over 2.5 goals, indicating their attacking prowess. They average 1.88 goals per game and maintain a slightly higher possession rate of 46.38%. However, their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding 1.38 goals per match, which could be a vulnerability against PAOK's attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have not faced each other frequently, making this encounter even more intriguing. Both teams will be eager to establish dominance in this rare matchup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
PAOK
- Georgios Giakoumakis: With 4 goals this season, he is PAOK's leading scorer and a key figure in their attack.
- Andrija Zivkovic: Contributing 3 goals, Zivkovic's creativity and goal-scoring ability make him a crucial player.
Celta de Vigo
- Pablo Durán: Leading Celta's scoring with 3 goals, Durán will be a significant threat to PAOK's defense.
- Iago Aspas: A seasoned striker with 2 goals, Aspas' experience and skill are vital for Celta's offensive efforts.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: PAOK averages 11.38 shots per game with 5.25 on target, while Celta averages 10.25 shots with 4.38 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: PAOK's defense will need to be wary of Celta's 87.5% BTTS rate, while Celta must address their 1.38 goals conceded per match.
- Possession and Passing: Celta's higher average possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested with both teams having the potential to score. PAOK's home advantage and slightly better odds give them a marginal edge. Key factors will include PAOK's ability to exploit Celta's defensive weaknesses and Celta's capacity to capitalize on their attacking opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: PAOK 2-1 Celta de Vigo Half Time Score Prediction: PAOK 1-1 Celta de Vigo Probability of Both Teams to Score: 75% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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