MATCH OVERVIEW
Fortaleza will host Bahia in a thrilling Brazil Série A match at the Arena Castelão. This encounter is pivotal for both teams as they aim to climb the league standings and secure a favorable position. With the match scheduled for July 19, 2025, at 19:00 GMT, fans can expect a competitive showdown.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are as follows: Fortaleza to win at 2.42, a draw at 3.01, and Bahia to win at 2.81. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Fortaleza having a slight edge as the home team. The probability of a Fortaleza victory stands at approximately 41.32%, while Bahia's chances are at 35.59%, and a draw is at 33.22%. Given these odds, a narrow win for Fortaleza seems likely.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Fortaleza
Fortaleza has played 12 matches this season, with a 50% rate of games featuring over 2.5 goals. Their possession averages at 46.5%, indicating a balanced approach. They score an average of 1 goal per match, with key players like Juan Martín Lucero contributing 3 goals this season. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per game, which is a concern.
Bahia
Bahia has played 13 matches, with a 46.15% rate of games featuring over 2.5 goals. They maintain a higher possession rate at 51.92%, showcasing their ability to control the game. Bahia scores 1.23 goals per match, with Michel Araújo and Luciano Juba each scoring 3 goals this season. Their defense is stronger, conceding only 0.92 goals per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Fortaleza
- Juan Martín Lucero: With 3 goals this season, Lucero is a key offensive player for Fortaleza.
- Yago Pikachu: Contributing 2 goals, Pikachu's form will be crucial.
Bahia
- Michel Araújo: A top scorer with 3 goals, Araújo's performance will be vital.
- Luciano Juba: Also with 3 goals, Juba is a significant threat in attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Fortaleza: Average 12.75 shots per game, with 4.42 on target. They have a defensive rating of 375.8.
- Bahia: Average 11.08 shots per game, with 3.54 on target. Their defensive rating is higher at 399.97.
Possession and Passing
- Fortaleza: Average 377.25 passes per game, with a success rate of 312.08.
- Bahia: Average 464.23 passes per game, with a success rate of 407.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Fortaleza's home advantage and slightly better odds suggest they might edge out Bahia in a close match. Key factors include Fortaleza's offensive capabilities and Bahia's defensive strength. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Fortaleza, with a half-time score of 1-1. The probability for both teams to score is high at 60%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 55%.
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
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