MATCH OVERVIEW
Cork City and St. Patrick's Athletic are set to face off in a pivotal League of Ireland match. This encounter holds significant weight as both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings. Cork City, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while St. Patrick's Athletic will look to maintain their impressive away form. The match is scheduled to kick off at Turner's Cross, promising an electrifying atmosphere.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with St. Patrick's Athletic favored to win at 1.8, while Cork City stands at 3.93, and a draw is priced at 3.46. These odds translate to a 55.6% probability for an away win, a 25.4% chance for a home victory, and a 28.9% likelihood of a draw. Given these probabilities, St. Patrick's Athletic is expected to have the upper hand, but Cork City's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cork City has had a mixed season, with an average of 20 matches played. They have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with 55% of their matches seeing over 2.5 goals and an impressive 85% featuring both teams scoring. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.85 goals per game. St. Patrick's Athletic, on the other hand, has played 22 matches, with a more balanced approach. They average 1.23 goals per game and have a stronger defensive record, conceding only 1.18 goals per match. Their possession stats are also superior, averaging 55.27% compared to Cork City's 48.3%.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Cork City, Djenairo Daniels and Kitt Nelson have been key contributors, each scoring 4 goals this season. Ruairi Keating and S. Maguire have also chipped in with 3 goals each. St. Patrick's Athletic will rely on the likes of Mason Melia and Aidan Keena, both of whom have netted 6 goals this season. The battle between these forwards and the respective defenses will be crucial in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cork City's offensive metrics show an average of 10.15 shots per game, with 2.95 on target. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.04, indicating a need for more clinical finishing. Defensively, they average 3.5 saves per game but have a high expected goals against (xGA) of 1.92. St. Patrick's Athletic, meanwhile, averages 13.27 shots per game, with 4.64 on target, and an xG of 1.48. Their xGA is significantly lower at 1.12, highlighting their defensive solidity.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, St. Patrick's Athletic appears to have the edge, particularly with their superior defensive record and attacking efficiency. Cork City's home advantage and high BTTS percentage suggest they will find the net, but St. Patrick's Athletic's overall balance may prove decisive. Expect a closely contested match with St. Patrick's Athletic likely to emerge victorious. Final score prediction: Cork City 1-2 St. Patrick's Athletic.
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