MATCH OVERVIEW
Fiorentina and Cremonese face off in a pivotal Serie A match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Fiorentina, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the Stadio Artemio Franchi to secure a win. Meanwhile, Cremonese will be looking to defy expectations and claim a valuable away victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Fiorentina victory, with odds of 1.65. The probability of a draw stands at 3.46, while a Cremonese win is considered less likely at 4.69. These odds translate to a 60.6% chance of a Fiorentina win, a 28.9% chance of a draw, and a 21.3% chance of a Cremonese victory. Based on these figures, Fiorentina is the clear favorite to take all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 15 matches played this season. They have a strong offensive presence, with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and a 66.67% both teams to score rate. However, their defense has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game.
Cremonese
Cremonese, on the other hand, has played 16 matches this season, with a lower over 2.5 goals percentage of 37.5%. Their defense has been slightly more robust, conceding 1.13 goals per game. However, their offensive output is modest, with an average of 1.13 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Fiorentina has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. Cremonese will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Fiorentina
- Rolando Mandragora: With 4 goals this season, Mandragora is a key player for Fiorentina, providing both goals and leadership on the pitch.
- Moise Kean: Although he has only scored 2 goals, Kean's presence in the attack is crucial for Fiorentina's offensive strategies.
Cremonese
- Federico Bonazzoli: Leading Cremonese's scoring charts with 5 goals, Bonazzoli will be a significant threat to Fiorentina's defense.
- Jamie Vardy: With 4 goals, Vardy's experience and goal-scoring ability make him a key player for Cremonese.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Fiorentina: Average possession of 51.6%, with 10.73 shots per game and an expected goals (xG) of 1.35.
- Cremonese: Average possession of 46.5%, with 7.63 shots per game and an xG of 0.94.
- Defensive Metrics: Fiorentina concedes 1.73 goals per game, while Cremonese concedes 1.13, indicating a potential defensive edge for Cremonese.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Fiorentina's home advantage and superior offensive statistics make them the favorites in this encounter. However, Cremonese's solid defense and key players like Bonazzoli and Vardy could pose challenges. Expect a competitive match with Fiorentina likely edging out a win.
Final Score Prediction: Fiorentina 2-1 Cremonese Half Time Score Prediction: Fiorentina 1-0 Cremonese Both Teams to Score Probability: 66.67% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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