MATCH OVERVIEW
Fiorentina will host Milan in a thrilling Serie A match at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. Scheduled for January 11, 2026, at 14:00 GMT, this fixture is pivotal for both teams as they aim to strengthen their positions in the league table. Milan, with their eyes on the top spots, will face a Fiorentina side eager to make a statement at home.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Milan favored to win at 1.96, translating to a 51% probability. Fiorentina's odds of 3.79 give them a 26% chance, while a draw is priced at 3.46, indicating a 29% likelihood. The odds reflect Milan's superior form, but Fiorentina's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Fiorentina
- Current Form: Fiorentina has shown resilience this season, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining a possession rate of 53.06%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 185.89 per match and a high successful dribble rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.56 goals per game.
Milan
- Current Form: Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.65 goals per game and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.76 goals per match.
- Strengths: High offensive rating of 839.78 and effective passing game.
- Weaknesses: Slightly lower duel success compared to Fiorentina.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Milan has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Fiorentina's home form could level the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Fiorentina
- Moise Kean: Key forward with 5 goals this season.
- Rolando Mandragora: Midfield dynamo, also with 5 goals.
Milan
- Christian Pulisic: Top scorer with 8 goals, pivotal in Milan's attack.
- Rafael Leão: Another key attacker with 6 goals, known for his pace and skill.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Milan leads with an average of 1.71 expected goals per match compared to Fiorentina's 1.45.
- Defensive Metrics: Milan's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a lower expected goals against.
- Possession and Passing: Milan's superior passing accuracy and possession could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Milan enters this match as favorites, backed by their strong offensive and defensive metrics. Fiorentina's home advantage and fighting spirit could make this a closer contest than the odds suggest. Key factors will include Milan's ability to break down Fiorentina's defense and Fiorentina's counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction: Milan to win 2-1, with both teams likely to score given their attacking prowess.
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
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