MATCH OVERVIEW
Mazatlán and Monterrey are gearing up for a pivotal Liga MX match that could shape their season trajectories. Monterrey, currently enjoying a robust form, is looking to extend their dominance, while Mazatlán aims to capitalize on their home ground advantage. The Estadio de Mazatlán will be the battleground for this exciting clash, set to kick off at 3:00 AM UTC on January 17, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Monterrey with an average of 1.78, indicating a 56.18% probability of an away win. Mazatlán's odds stand at 3.43, translating to a 29.15% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.34, suggesting a 29.94% likelihood. Monterrey's superior form and squad depth make them the expected winners, but Mazatlán's resilience at home could lead to surprises.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mazatlán
Mazatlán has played 18 matches this season, with a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 61.11% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 72.22%. Their average possession is 44.39%, indicating a counter-attacking style. Mazatlán's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.72 goals per match, which could be a concern against Monterrey's potent attack.
Monterrey
Monterrey has been impressive with 22 matches played, boasting a 59.09% Over 2.5 Goals percentage. Their possession rate of 55.5% reflects a dominant style of play. Monterrey's attack is formidable, averaging 1.77 goals per match, and their defense is relatively solid, conceding 1.59 goals per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mazatlán
- Facundo Almada: With 4 goals this season, Almada is a key offensive threat.
- Nicolás Benedetti: Contributing 3 goals, Benedetti's creativity is vital for Mazatlán.
Monterrey
- Germán Berterame: Leading the scoring charts with 11 goals, Berterame is Monterrey's main attacking force.
- Sergio Canales: With 10 goals, Canales adds depth to Monterrey's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: Average 1.17 goals per match, with an Expected Goals of 1.28. Their defense concedes 1.72 goals, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.83.
- Monterrey: Average 1.77 goals per match, with an Expected Goals of 1.64. Their defense concedes 1.59 goals, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.22.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Monterrey's superior offensive capabilities and solid defense make them favorites to win. Mazatlán's home advantage and fighting spirit could lead to a competitive match, but Monterrey's quality should prevail. Expect Monterrey to secure a victory, potentially with a scoreline of 2-1.
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