MATCH OVERVIEW
The La Liga fixture between Deportivo Alavés and Real Madrid is set to be a thrilling contest. With Real Madrid sitting comfortably at the top of the table, they will be looking to extend their lead. Meanwhile, Alavés, positioned in the lower half, will be desperate to climb the standings and avoid relegation threats. The match will be held at the Estadio de Mendizorroza, a venue known for its passionate home support.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Real Madrid with an average of 1.52, indicating a 65.8% probability of an away win. Alavés, with odds of 5.86, have a mere 17.1% chance of victory, while a draw stands at 4.17, translating to a 24% probability. Given these odds, Real Madrid is expected to secure a win, but Alavés could capitalize on any complacency from the visitors.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés have struggled this season, averaging only 0.86 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.07 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they lack firepower, with a low expected goals (xG) of 1.11.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Alavés have found it challenging against Real Madrid, often succumbing to their superior quality.
Real Madrid
- Current Form: Real Madrid are in excellent form, scoring an average of 2.07 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their attack is formidable, led by Kylian Mbappé, who has netted 14 goals this season.
- Weaknesses: Occasionally vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.09.
- Head-to-Head: Real Madrid have dominated past encounters, leveraging their superior squad depth and tactical acumen.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Deportivo Alavés
- Lucas Boyé: A key figure in Alavés' attack, contributing 2 goals this season.
- Carlos Vicente: The top scorer for Alavés with 3 goals, crucial for any offensive success.
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé: The standout performer with 14 goals, his pace and finishing are vital.
- Vinicius Junior: Adds flair and creativity, having scored 5 goals this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Real Madrid average 19 shots per game, significantly higher than Alavés' 9.79.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés have a higher interception rate, averaging 41.79 per match compared to Madrid's 33.57.
- Possession: Real Madrid dominate possession with 58.07%, while Alavés manage 49.07%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Real Madrid are expected to win this encounter, given their superior form and squad quality. Key factors include their attacking prowess and ability to control the game tempo. Alavés will need to exploit any defensive lapses and capitalize on set-pieces to have a chance.
Final Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: Real Madrid 1-0 Deportivo Alavés Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 64.29%
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