MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Südtirol and Monza is more than just a regular fixture; it's a pivotal clash that could shape the trajectory of both teams' seasons. With Monza currently holding a slight edge in the league standings, Südtirol will be eager to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital win. The match will take place at Südtirol's home stadium, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 on February 11, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Monza favored to win at 2.04, while Südtirol's odds stand at 3.47, and a draw is priced at 3.02. These odds translate to a 48.8% probability of a Monza victory, a 28.8% chance for Südtirol, and a 33.1% likelihood of a draw. Given these probabilities, Monza appears to be the expected winner, but the odds also indicate a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Südtirol
Südtirol has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.09 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.05 goals on average. Their possession rate of 39% suggests a counter-attacking style, relying on quick transitions and efficient use of the ball. However, their low possession could be a weakness against a team like Monza, who excels in controlling the game.
Monza
Monza, on the other hand, boasts a higher average possession of 53.23% and a more potent attack, scoring 1.55 goals per game. Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.82 goals conceded per match. Monza's ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities makes them a formidable opponent, especially against a team that prefers to sit back and counter.
Head-to-Head
In their previous encounters, Monza has generally had the upper hand, but Südtirol's home advantage could level the playing field. Tactical adjustments and player form will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Südtirol
- Silvio Merkaj: With 6 goals this season, Merkaj is Südtirol's top scorer and a key player in their attacking setup.
- Raphael Kofler: Leading the team with 176.59 points, Kofler's contributions in defense and midfield are vital.
Monza
- Hernani: A standout performer with 194.27 points, Hernani's influence in midfield is crucial for Monza's success.
- Agustín Álvarez: With 4 goals, Álvarez is a significant threat in front of goal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Monza averages 13.23 shots per game compared to Südtirol's 11.27, indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Südtirol's average of 38.45 interceptions per game highlights their defensive discipline, while Monza's lower average of 34.73 suggests a focus on possession rather than defensive actions.
- Passing and Possession: Monza's superior passing accuracy and possession rate could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Monza is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Südtirol's defensive resilience and home advantage could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors such as set-piece efficiency and individual brilliance could tip the scales.
Final Score Prediction: Monza 2-1 Südtirol. Expect Monza to edge out a victory, but Südtirol will not go down without a fight.
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