MATCH OVERVIEW
Rayo Vallecano welcomes Atlético Madrid to the Estadio de Vallecas in what promises to be an exciting La Liga fixture. Scheduled for February 14, 2026, at 15:15 GMT, this match is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings. Atlético Madrid, known for their tactical prowess, will be looking to maintain their strong form, while Rayo Vallecano will aim to leverage their home advantage.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong leaning towards an Atlético Madrid victory, with odds of 1.82. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, is seen as the underdog with odds of 4.27, while a draw is priced at 3.42. This translates to a probability of approximately 54.9% for an Atlético win, 23.4% for a Rayo victory, and 29.2% for a draw. Given these odds, Atlético Madrid is expected to dominate, but Rayo's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Rayo Vallecano
- Current Form: Rayo has shown resilience this season, with an average of 0.82 goals per match and a possession rate of 54.5%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles (18.27 per match) and interceptions (39.32 per match).
- Weaknesses: Struggles in goal-scoring, with only 0.82 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Rayo has struggled against Atlético, but their home form could be a game-changer.
Atlético Madrid
- Current Form: Atlético boasts a solid defense, conceding only 0.77 goals per match, and a potent attack with 1.73 goals per match.
- Strengths: High pass success rate (436.77 successful passes per match) and strong offensive rating (947.61).
- Weaknesses: Occasionally vulnerable to counter-attacks.
- Head-to-Head: Atlético has a strong record against Rayo, often coming out on top in recent encounters.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Rayo Vallecano
- Jorge de Frutos: Top scorer with 7 goals, crucial for Rayo's attacking play.
- Pep Chavarría: Key in defense and transitions, with 282.88 points this season.
Atlético Madrid
- Alexander Sørloth: Joint top scorer with 7 goals, pivotal in Atlético's attack.
- Antoine Griezmann: A consistent performer with 6 goals, known for his creativity and vision.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Atlético averages 1.73 goals per match compared to Rayo's 0.82.
- Defensive Metrics: Atlético's defense is more robust, conceding 0.77 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.36.
- Possession and Passing: Atlético leads in possession (53.09%) and successful passes (436.77).
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Atlético Madrid is favored to win this encounter, thanks to their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include their ability to control possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Rayo Vallecano will need to exploit their home advantage and focus on defensive solidity to counter Atlético's threats.
Final Score Prediction: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano Half Time Score Prediction: Atlético Madrid 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 41%
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