MATCH OVERVIEW
Stevenage and Bolton Wanderers are set to face off in a pivotal League 1 match that could shape the trajectory of their seasons. Stevenage, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Lamex Stadium to gain an advantage over Bolton Wanderers, who have been formidable opponents this season. With the match scheduled for January 20, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, fans can expect an intense showdown.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Bolton Wanderers slightly favored to win at 2.22, compared to Stevenage's odds of 3.26. The draw is priced at 3.11, indicating a closely contested match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 44.8% for Bolton to win, 30.7% for Stevenage, and 32.2% for a draw. Given Bolton's higher odds, they are expected to edge out Stevenage, but the home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Stevenage
Stevenage has had a mixed season, with an average of 23 matches played. Their offensive capabilities are moderate, with an average of 1.17 goals per game and a possession rate of 44.13%. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 0.87 goals per game, showcasing a solid backline. Key players like Jamie Reid, who has scored 8 goals, will be crucial in this match.
Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers have been impressive, playing 25 matches with a higher possession rate of 59.08%. They average 1.28 goals per game, indicating a strong offensive presence. Defensively, they concede 1 goal per game, which is slightly higher than Stevenage. Players like Mason Burstow, with 7 goals, will be pivotal in breaking down Stevenage's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Stevenage
- Jamie Reid: Top scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Stevenage's attack.
- Harvey White: Contributing with 3 goals, adds depth to the midfield.
Bolton Wanderers
- Mason Burstow: Leading scorer with 7 goals, a key threat in the attack.
- Amario Cozier-Duberry: With 6 goals, he complements Bolton's offensive strategy.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Stevenage: Average shots per game at 8.65, with 2.83 on target. Their expected goals stand at 0.92.
- Bolton Wanderers: Average 15.48 shots per game, with 4.44 on target. Their expected goals are higher at 1.63.
Possession and Passing
- Stevenage: Average possession of 44.13%, with 292.26 passes per game.
- Bolton Wanderers: Dominant possession at 59.08%, with 494.12 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Bolton Wanderers are slightly favored to win, given their superior offensive and possession statistics. However, Stevenage's home advantage and solid defense could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors will include Bolton's ability to maintain possession and Stevenage's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Stevenage 1-2 Bolton Wanderers
- Half Time: Stevenage 0-1 Bolton Wanderers
With a probability of 56% for both teams to score and 40% for over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an engaging match with potential for multiple goals.
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